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  • Monday Monetary Madness – This Is What The Yield’S Like When Fed Doves Cry 0 comments
    Feb 20, 2012 9:19 AM | about stocks: ABX, AMZN, BA, BTU, CHK, DMND, EDC, F, FAS, GDP, GE, GOOG, GS, HPQ, IRBT, ISRG, KO, MO, PFE, SCO, SKX, SPY, SQQQ, SVU, TLT, TZA, XOM

    Why do we scream at each other
    This is what it sounds like
    When doves cry- Prince

    It's no coincidence that this week we will be hearing from Fed Governors Kocherllakota(1pm Tues), Hoenig (12:30 Weds), Plosser (1:30 Weds), and Bullard (9:15 Thurs) ahead of our 2-Year Note Auction (1pm Tues), 5-Year Note Auction (1pm Weds) and 7-Year Note Auction (1pm Thursday) as the Fed needs to bring out 4 of it's 5 most hawkish members to talk up the Dollar (by talking down QE3) to keep those rates paid as low as possible for Treasury.

    Once the Hawks drive the rates down and the notes are sold, the Doves will once again be released to talk them back up by extolling the glories of QE3 - completely reversing whatever was said before just as the Hawks will once again be called upon to reverse what the Doves say at a later date - when they need rates to come back down. The joke of it all is that traders will react to each statement, every time, as if it's a "game changer" and adjust their positions to reflect the new reality of the moment. It reminds me of a quote from Orwell's 1984:

    As soon as all the corrections which happened to be necessary in any particular number of The Times had been assembled and collated, that number would be reprinted, the original copy destroyed, and the corrected copy placed on the files in its stead. This process of continuous alteration was applied not only to newspapers, but to books, periodicals, pamphlets, posters, leaflets, films, sound-tracks, cartoons, photographs - to every kind of literature or documentation which might conceivably hold any political or ideological significance.

    Day by day and almost minute by minute the past was brought up to date. In this way every prediction made by the Party could be shown by documentary evidence to have been correct, nor was any item of news, or any expression of opinion, which conflicted with the needs of the moment, ever allowed to remain on record. All history was a palimpsest, scraped clean and reinscribed exactly as often as was necessary. In no case would it have been possible, once the deed was done, to prove that any falsification had taken place.

    After all, what…
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    Tags: AA, ABX, AMZN, BA, BTU, CHK, DMND, EDC, F, FAS, GDP, GE, GOOG, GS, HPQ, IRBT,ISRG, KO, MO, Option Strategies, PFE, SCO, SKX, SPY, SQQQ, SVU, TLT, TZA, XOM

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    Disclosure: I am short DIA, USO, SQQQ.

    Additional disclosure: Positions as indicated but subject to change.

    Themes: Option Strategies, GDP, Greece Stocks: ABX, AMZN, BA, BTU, CHK, DMND, EDC, F, FAS, GDP, GE, GOOG, GS, HPQ, IRBT, ISRG, KO, MO, PFE, SCO, SKX, SPY, SQQQ, SVU, TLT, TZA, XOM
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